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EU: Economic Uncertainty Continues

Agenda: With George Friedman
The European Commission has placed Greece’s economic policies under an unprecedented level of oversight within the eurozone. Analyst Peter Zeihan discusses the implications and mounting pressures for France and Belgium.

The situation in Europe is dire

The situation in Europe is dire

After years of profligate spending, Greece is becoming overwhelmed. Barring some sort of large-scale bailout program, a Greek debt default at this point is highly likely. At this moment, European Central Bank liquidity efforts are probably the only thing holding back such a default. But these are a stopgap measure that can hold only until [...]

Ukraine’s Election and the Russian Resurgence

Ukraine’s Election and the Russian Resurgence

Ukrainians go to the polls Feb. 7 to choose their next president. The last time they did this, in November 2004, the result was the prolonged international incident that became known as the Orange Revolution.
That event saw Ukraine cleaved off from the Russian sphere of influence, triggering a chain of events that rekindled [...]

A Terrorist Trial in New York City

A Terrorist Trial in New York City

U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder announced Nov. 13 that the U.S. Justice Department had decided to try five suspected terrorists currently being held at Guantanamo Bay in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, located in lower Manhattan.
The five suspects — Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, Walid Muhammad Salih Mubarek bin Attash, Ramzi [...]

The Deadly Insurgency in Iran’s Backyard

Attacks by a rebel group in Iran’s Sistan-Balochistan province that killed several Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps personnel add a new twist to developments in South Asia’s axis of unrest, and stand to impact international negotiations over Tehran’s nuclear program.
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The U.S. Challenge in Afghanistan

The U.S. Challenge in Afghanistan

The decision over whether to send more U.S. troops into Afghanistan may wait until the contested Afghan election is resolved, U.S. officials said Oct. 18. The announcement comes as U.S. President Barack Obama is approaching a decision on the war in Afghanistan. During the 2008 U.S. presidential campaign, Obama argued that Iraq was the wrong [...]

Pakistan: Biting the Hand that Feeds You

Pakistan: Biting the Hand that Feeds You

The Islamabad office of the United Nations’ World Food Program (WFP) was struck by a suicide bomber just after noon local time Oct. 5. The bomber, who wore an improvised explosive device (IED) concealed under his clothing, was wearing the uniform of the Frontier Constabulary, a paramilitary force, and reportedly made his way past perimeter [...]

The BMD Decision and the Global System

The BMD Decision and the Global System

The United States announced late Sept. 17 that it would abandon a plan for placing ballistic missile defense (BMD) installations in Poland and the Czech Republic. Instead of the planned system, which was intended to defend primarily against a potential crude intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) threat from Iran against the United States, the administration chose [...]

Examining the Jakarta Attacks: Trends and Challenges

Examining the Jakarta Attacks: Trends and Challenges

On the morning of July 17, a guest at the JW Marriott hotel in Jakarta came down to the lobby and began walking toward the lounge with his roll-aboard suitcase in tow and a backpack slung across his chest. Sensing something odd about the fellow, alert security officers approached him and asked him if he [...]

Russia, Ahmadinejad and Iran Reconsidered

Russia, Ahmadinejad and Iran Reconsidered

At Friday prayers July 17 at Tehran University, the influential cleric and former Iranian President Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani gave his first sermon since Iran’s disputed presidential election and the subsequent demonstrations. The crowd listening to Rafsanjani inside the mosque was filled with Ahmadinejad supporters who chanted, among other things, “Death to America” and “Death [...]

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